Tap an odd to add it to your bet slip
Birmingham wins
Home3.3729%
Draw3.2829%
Away2.1541%
Both teams score
Yes1.7856%
No1.9444%
Under 2.5 goals
Over2.0350%
Under1.7750%
Under 9.5 corners
Over1.6742%
Under2.1058%
The model's analysis
For the match Derby vs Birmingham on September 12, 2026 (Championship), our Metapred algorithm predicts an away victory for Birmingham with low confidence. Average odds suggest a significant probability of a Birmingham victory (2.15).
Match context: Derby is in 22th place. while Birmingham is in 8th place. Derby is struggling with only 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Birmingham displays moderate form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Derby and Birmingham averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 75% of their respective matches. 75% of these teams' matches saw over 2.5 goals.
Key Trends
GoalsBoth teams scored in 80% of Birmingham away matches
GoalsBirmingham scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 80% of Derby home matches
GoalsBoth teams scored in 60% of Derby home matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 60% of Birmingham away matches
Head to HeadBoth teams scored in 67% of the last 3 H2H matches
Derby
1V · 4DDDDVD
D
vsBirminghamD
vsWest BromD
@West HamV
@PortsmouthD
vsSwanseaBirmingham
2V · 2N · 1DVDNNV
V
@DerbyD
@NorwichN
vsWolverhamptonN
vsSouthamptonV
@WrexhamTeam Statistics · 10 matches
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)6/10 · 60%
Over 2.5 goals8/10 · 80%
Clean sheets1/10 · 10%
OverallHomeAway
Wins202
Draws110
Losses743
Goals scored1147
Goals conceded19109
Avg. goals scored1.100.801.40
Avg. goals conceded1.902.001.80
Highlighted: where this team plays this match.
Home
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)60%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Away
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)60%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 14 |
| 7 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
Keep watching
See all →FAQ
Who will win Derby vs Birmingham?
According to the MetaPred algorithm, the most likely outcome for Derby vs Birmingham is a Birmingham win with a probability of 41%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Birmingham?
Our analysis indicates Yes for Both Teams to Score (BTTS) with a 56% probability for Derby vs Birmingham.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Birmingham?
The MetaPred model predicts Under 2.5 goals for the Over/Under 2.5 goals market with a 50% probability.
Tap an odd to add it to your bet slip
Birmingham wins
Home3.3729%
Draw3.2829%
Away2.1541%
Both teams score
Yes1.7856%
No1.9444%
Under 2.5 goals
Over2.0350%
Under1.7750%
Under 9.5 corners
Over1.6742%
Under2.1058%
The model's analysis
For the match Derby vs Birmingham on September 12, 2026 (Championship), our Metapred algorithm predicts an away victory for Birmingham with low confidence. Average odds suggest a significant probability of a Birmingham victory (2.15).
Match context: Derby is in 22th place. while Birmingham is in 8th place. Derby is struggling with only 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Birmingham displays moderate form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Derby and Birmingham averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 75% of their respective matches. 75% of these teams' matches saw over 2.5 goals.
Key Trends
GoalsBoth teams scored in 80% of Birmingham away matches
GoalsBirmingham scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 80% of Derby home matches
GoalsBoth teams scored in 60% of Derby home matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 60% of Birmingham away matches
Head to HeadBoth teams scored in 67% of the last 3 H2H matches
Derby
1V · 4DDDDVD
D
vsBirminghamD
vsWest BromD
@West HamV
@PortsmouthD
vsSwanseaBirmingham
2V · 2N · 1DVDNNV
V
@DerbyD
@NorwichN
vsWolverhamptonN
vsSouthamptonV
@WrexhamTeam Statistics
DerbyBirmingham
60%BTTS (Both Teams To Score)90%
80%Over 2.5 goals70%
1Clean sheets1
2Wins4
11Goals scored15
19Goals conceded12
1.10Avg goals/match1.50
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 14 |
| 7 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
FAQ
Who will win Derby vs Birmingham?
According to the MetaPred algorithm, the most likely outcome for Derby vs Birmingham is a Birmingham win with a probability of 41%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Birmingham?
Our analysis indicates Yes for Both Teams to Score (BTTS) with a 56% probability for Derby vs Birmingham.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Birmingham?
The MetaPred model predicts Under 2.5 goals for the Over/Under 2.5 goals market with a 50% probability.